Game Result Predictions
Today, January 13
Today, January 13
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Belmont (24-9) | 75 | 72 | -8.0 | 76% | ✔ | 75 | -14.0 | 99% | ✔ | |
| Eastern Illinois (10-19) | 66 | 64 | +8.0 | 24% | 61 | +14.0 | 1% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Austin Peay (17-15) | 87 | 65 | +8.0 | 24% | ✘ | 65 | +6.5 | 9% | ✘ | |
| Jacksonville State (22-13) | 67 | 73 | -8.0 | 76% | 72 | -6.5 | 91% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Tennessee State (13-15) | 79 | 70 | -4.0 | 64% | ✘ | 71 | -7.0 | 93% | ✘ | |
| SIUE (9-21) | 82 | 66 | +4.0 | 36% | 64 | +7.0 | 7% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Eastern Kentucky (9-20) | 89 | 75 | +7.0 | 27% | ✘ | 75 | +6.0 | 10% | ✘ | |
| Southeast Missouri (12-17) | 86 | 82 | -7.0 | 73% | 81 | -6.0 | 90% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Murray State (24-6) | 71 | 76 | -8.0 | 76% | ✔ | 78 | -12.0 | 99% | ✔ | |
| Tennessee Tech (17-14) | 45 | 68 | +8.0 | 24% | 66 | +12.0 | 1% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Morehead State (6-21) | 71 | 67 | +5.0 | 33% | ✘ | 68 | +2.0 | 31% | ✘ | |
| Tennessee-Martin (8-21) | 67 | 72 | -5.0 | 67% | 70 | -2.0 | 69% | |||
Today, January 13 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 33%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 33%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 33%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 33%
Overall Results (4543 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.